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How to use Elo ratings for football predictions
A practical guide to using Elo ratings in football predictions, from team strength and home advantage to draw probability, league adjustments, and model improvement.
Alavés pay a very high price for reaching the round of sixteen
Alavés beat Sevilla to reach the Copa del Rey round of sixteen, but injuries to Jonny Otto and Lucas Boyé threaten their plans ahead of the Osasuna clash.
Using Football Predictions AI to Avoid Bad Bets, Not Chase Winners
Use Football Predictions AI as a disciplined filter to avoid low-edge bets, manage risk, and make probability-based decisions instead of chasing winners.
Expected goals explained and how AI uses xG to predict results
Understand expected goals (xG) from first principles and see how AI uses xG, shot quality, and team context to predict football results with stronger accuracy and calibration.
Bayer assistant coach Meijer becomes head coach at Sparta Rotterdam
Rogier Meijer leaves Bayer Leverkusen after one year to become Sparta Rotterdam head coach, signing until 2028 after an eventful spell in Germany.
Liverpool confirm Alexander Isak suffers broken leg and undergoes surgery
Ankle surgery for Alexander Isak will keep the Liverpool striker out for an undefined period after he suffered a fibula fracture in the win at Tottenham.